Not Learning from History
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Over 35 years ago, King Hussein of Jordan made the difficult choice to cast the PLO out of his country. At the time, PLO operatives were using Jordanian territory as a staging point, and they were gradually gaining strength and control of that territory. Forseeing the challenge to his own government’s power that the PLO could become, Hussein had to make a move that was unpopular in an era when Pan-Arab nationalist politics, which ruled the region, espoused non-recognition and the destruction of the Al-Ka’in Al-SiHioni (the Zionist Entity).
The recent events in Lebanon, however, seem to have vindicated King Hussein’s decision. Lebanon, like Jordan, has dealt with a militia movement–Hezb Ullah– within its borders that has very little accountability. As many analysts have pointed out, Hezb Ullah’s recent incursion into Israel was not in the interest of the Lebanese government, and it threatens the country’s sovereignty. Lebanon, then, is living the fate that Jordan narrowly avoided 36 years ago.
The Syrian Occupation, however, limited Lebanon’s ability to control Hezb Ullah, who receives support from Damascus. The Lebanese government left in the aftermath of the Syian withdrawal was not equipped to handle Hezb Ullah, and so the terrorist organization was able to stage an operation that has had such devastating impact on Lebanon.
Considering that background, the recent threat that the Lebanese government has made to employ troops against Israel in the event of a ground invasion may be a grave blunder. First of all, Lebanon cannot hope to stand up against the Israeli military if it cannot stand up to an internal militia. Even if it could make life hell for Israel by mounting an urban defense, the end result would still a Lebanon in ruins.
Second, and more importantly, this may actually be Lebanon’s chance to do like King Hussein did, and take control of the country. Lebanon should deploy its military in this conflict–but they should be doing it against Hezb Ullah. It’s a sure thing that Syria, and Palestinians will brand them traitors. Jordan faced the exact same accusations. Nevertheless, Lebanon has a chance to take control of its destiny. Jordan has been an Island of calm in the region for over 30 years. Lebanon should follow Jordan’s example and get rid of Hezb Ullah. By picking up and fighting alongside Hezb Ullah out of fear of an Israeli occupation, Lebanon will seal its own eventual demise.
The choice is hard. It involves trusting the Israelis to leave Lebanon when their campaign against Hezb Ullah ends. More importantly, it involves being strong enough to ignore peer pressure from a neighboring bully country. Jordan did it. Can Lebanon?
